BTCC / BTCC Square / XRP News /
XRP Price Prediction: Will XRP Hit $3 Amid Volatility and Regulatory Hurdles?

XRP Price Prediction: Will XRP Hit $3 Amid Volatility and Regulatory Hurdles?

Author:
XRP News
Published:
2025-06-06 10:45:34
19
3
[TRADE_PLUGIN]XRPUSDT,XRPUSDT[/TRADE_PLUGIN]

#XRP

  • Technical Outlook: XRP must hold $2 support and breach the 20-day MA for a rally toward $3.
  • Regulatory Risks: SEC lawsuit and CLARITY Act review could dictate short-term volatility.
  • Whale Activity: Large transfers to exchanges may signal profit-taking or accumulation ahead of key events.

XRP Price Prediction

XRP Technical Analysis: Key Indicators to Watch

According to BTCC financial analyst John, XRP is currently trading at 2.14770000 USDT, below its 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.2741. The MACD indicator shows a bullish crossover with values at 0.1245 (MACD line), 0.0895 (signal line), and 0.0350 (histogram). Bollinger Bands indicate potential volatility, with the upper band at 2.4696, middle band at 2.2741, and lower band at 2.0785. John suggests that while XRP faces resistance NEAR the 20-day MA, a break above this level could signal further upside.

XRPUSDT

XRP Market Sentiment: Mixed Reactions Amid Regulatory and ETF Speculation

BTCC financial analyst John notes that XRP's price action is influenced by a mix of regulatory developments and market sentiment. Key headlines include the upcoming CLARITY Act review on June 10, rumors of a Ripple-SEC settlement (debunked), and whale activity moving $59M XRP to Coinbase. John highlights that while technicals show potential for a rebound, regulatory uncertainty and trader pivots to alternatives like Unilabs may cap near-term gains.

Factors Influencing XRP’s Price

XRP Tests Critical Support Amid Market-Wide Crypto Selloff

XRP plunged 4% to $2.12 as the broader cryptocurrency market tumbled 5% on June 6, driven by political tensions between former President Donald Trump and Elon Musk. Trading volume surged 80% to $2.97 billion, with derivatives activity spiking 70% during the downturn.

Technical indicators show XRP testing its lower Bollinger Band at $2.07 after breaking below the 20-day moving average. The token now approaches a make-or-break support zone that could determine its near-term trajectory.

Market participants await two key developments: a June 16 update in Ripple's ongoing SEC case and Franklin Templeton's ETF decision due June 17. Corporate investments in XRP-related projects now exceed $400 million despite regulatory uncertainty.

XRP Rebounds 7% Amid Volatile Trading as Market Awaits ETF Decision

XRP surged 7% to $2.20 after finding support at $2.07, recovering from a sell-off that saw trading volume spike to 228.6 million units—nearly double the daily average. The rebound signals capitulation selling rather than steady distribution, with bullish momentum returning as buyers stepped in between $2.10-$2.15.

Ripple’s regulatory approval in Dubai for its RLUSD stablecoin underscores its push to integrate crypto into cross-border payments. All eyes now turn to Franklin Templeton’s proposed spot XRP ETF, with a decision expected by June 17. Approval could unlock institutional inflows and reshape XRP’s liquidity profile.

Technically, XRP’s consolidation above its 200-day moving average suggests resilience despite broader market volatility. The token continues to straddle roles as both a settlement asset and a risk-on hedge, though the $2.50-$2.60 resistance zone remains a critical test for sustained upside.

U.S. Crypto Law: CLARITY Act Set for Review on June 10

The United States is poised to take a significant step toward regulatory clarity for digital assets as the CLARITY Act heads for markup in the House Financial Services Committee on June 10. This bipartisan bill aims to establish a unified framework for cryptocurrency regulation, delineating roles between the SEC and CFTC while providing clear definitions for digital assets.

Industry leaders have welcomed the legislation, with Ripple's chief legal officer Stuart Alderoty praising it as "a solid foundation for future laws." The act's progression comes amid growing institutional interest in cryptocurrencies, though some critics advocate alternative approaches like the Fair Tax Act.

Market observers note the timing coincides with renewed institutional interest in major cryptocurrencies, particularly those with established regulatory compliance frameworks. The outcome of this markup could significantly influence the operational landscape for exchanges and digital asset firms in the U.S. market.

XRP Price at Risk of Losing $2 Support Amid Trump-Musk Feud Market Turmoil

XRP faces a critical test of its $2 support level as geopolitical tensions between former President Donald Trump and Elon Musk trigger a broad market selloff. The digital asset plunged 6.82% from daily highs on June 5, mirroring volatility across crypto markets.

This downturn threatens to erase gains from XRP's 306% rally since November 2024, fueled by optimism around a potential Ripple-SEC lawsuit resolution. Analysts warn a breach below $2 could accelerate losses toward $1.50, with trading volume spiking 82% to $3.52 billion as investors reposition.

The Trump-Musk clash represents an unexpected headwind for crypto markets already navigating regulatory uncertainty. While XRP recovered slightly to $2.13 after testing $2.0711, the episode underscores how macroeconomic shocks can override positive sector-specific developments.

Ripple SEC Lawsuit Settlement Rumors Debunked: June 16 Deadline Explained

Speculation about a June 16 settlement between Ripple Labs and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has surged across social media platforms, particularly on X (formerly Twitter). However, these claims lack official confirmation. The date stems from a procedural deadline rather than a predetermined resolution.

Pro-XRP attorney Fred Rispoli clarified that June 16 marks a cutoff for a status update to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit. This follows Judge Analisa Torres' May 15 rejection of a joint Ripple-SEC settlement filing due to incorrect legal procedures. Neither party has refiled a corrected motion, raising questions about the next steps. If no action is taken by the deadline, the appeals court may proceed with the original rejection—potentially reigniting the litigation.

XRP Ledger Validator Proposes 3 Crucial Upgrades

The XRP Ledger (XRPL) is set to undergo significant enhancements with the rollout of version 2.5.0 this month. Validator Vet has outlined three key upgrades that aim to modernize the network: native smart transactors, a unique consensus model eliminating intermediaries, and more cost-effective, user-friendly nodes.

Smart transactors will enable developers to embed custom logic directly into transactions, bypassing the need for external tools or smart contracts. This feature is expected to streamline automated payments, digital asset management, and other blockchain applications.

Additional upgrades include support for token-enabled escrows under XLS-85d, allowing users to lock tokens beyond XRP—such as stablecoins, real-world asset tokens, and memecoins. The XLS-56d batch transaction feature will permit bundling up to eight transactions into a single operation.

Ripple Executive Clarifies Distinction Between XRP and Ripple

Reece Merrick, a senior executive at Ripple, has dispelled widespread confusion surrounding the relationship between XRP and Ripple. The digital asset XRP operates as the native cryptocurrency of the decentralized XRP Ledger (XRPL), an open-source blockchain network capable of processing over 1,500 transactions per second at minimal cost. Ripple, while utilizing XRP in its payment solutions, does not control the XRPL.

Merrick emphasized that XRP is not a share in Ripple, nor does its ownership equate to equity in the company. This clarification aims to address common misconceptions among newcomers who often conflate the two. The XRP Ledger remains independent, with transactions settling in three to five seconds for approximately $0.0002 each.

XRP Price Ready for Explosion up to $5-Here’s When!

XRP faces intensified selling pressure, dropping below $2.2 amid soaring trading volumes exceeding $2 billion. Traders appear to be exiting positions as the token breaches key support levels, validating a bearish continuation pattern.

Ripple's recent integration with traditional finance—rather than displacing it—coincides with a disruptive 1 billion XRP escrow unlock. While the supply shock remains contingent on market absorption, Ripple's atypical lockback of most tokens into escrow introduces uncertainty.

Technically, XRP tests the upper boundary of a weekly symmetrical triangle after prolonged consolidation. The token now approaches a decisive breakout zone within a bullish continuation setup. A successful breach could catalyze the projected ascent toward $5, capitalizing on accumulated momentum from 2022 lows through late 2024.

Ripple vs. SEC: Critical Deadline Looms in XRP Lawsuit

The legal battle between Ripple and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) faces a pivotal moment as a June 16 deadline approaches. Attorney Fred Rispoli highlights the unusual 20-day silence from both parties since Judge Analisa Torres rejected their joint motion on May 15. The motion, which sought to reduce Ripple's penalty to $50 million and lift operational restrictions, was denied due to procedural errors.

Judge Torres indicated she would reject the motion even if refiled correctly, yet neither Ripple nor the SEC has submitted a revised filing. Rispoli warns that without action by June 16, the Second Circuit could restart the appeal process based on the original denial. A pending motion, however, might delay proceedings by 60 days.

XRP Faces Continued Pressure as Traders Pivot to Unilabs Amid Legal Uncertainty

XRP's price struggles persist, trading just below $2.17 and slipping under the $2.15 support level. Technical indicators suggest low momentum, with the RSI hovering near 38 and the MACD hinting at bearishness. Narrow Bollinger Bands signal potential for abrupt price movement, compounding the uncertainty fueled by Ripple's protracted legal battle with the SEC.

Judge Torres' rejection of the proposed penalty settlement between Ripple and regulators has extended the lawsuit's timeline, dampening market sentiment. Despite claims of XRP's lack of legal clarity, proponents like Bill Morgan maintain that Judge Torres' earlier ruling affirming XRP's non-security status provides more regulatory certainty than even Bitcoin enjoys.

Meanwhile, Unilabs emerges as a beneficiary of XRP's stagnation, attracting traders with its $0.005 price point and AI-driven asset management platform. The project's multi-fund structure and technological focus appear to resonate with investors seeking alternatives during XRP's period of uncertainty.

Whale Moves $59M XRP to Coinbase Ahead of SEC Case Deadline

A significant transfer of 26.6 million XRP tokens, valued at nearly $59 million, was flagged by Whale Alert as it moved from an unknown wallet to Coinbase. The timing raises eyebrows—just days before the June 16 deadline in Ripple's protracted legal battle with the SEC.

Such large inflows to exchanges often signal impending sell pressure, potentially dampening XRP's price. The whale’s move suggests skepticism about a swift resolution to the case, aligning with the SEC’s recent pushback against external evidence requests.

The regulatory standoff continues as the court weighs procedural motions, leaving market participants parsing every development for clues on XRP’s trajectory.

Will XRP Price Hit $3?

BTCC analyst John believes XRP's path to $3 depends on overcoming key technical and regulatory hurdles. Below is a summary of critical levels and factors:

FactorDetail
Technical Resistance20-day MA at 2.2741; Upper Bollinger Band at 2.4696
CatalystsETF decision, SEC lawsuit deadline (June 16), CLARITY Act review
Market SentimentMixed due to whale movements and regulatory uncertainty

While a bullish MACD crossover and rebound potential exist, John cautions that sustained momentum above $2.50 is needed to target $3, contingent on positive regulatory outcomes.

|Square

Get the BTCC app to start your crypto journey

Get started today Scan to join our 100M+ users